2025 WRC Predictions: Toyota

January 17, 2025Joe Moore
RallyWRC

The 2025 World Rally Championship season kicks off in just over a week. Meaning it’s a good time to predict some things about the upcoming season. This article will give some predictions for the Toyota Gazoo Racing WRT.

Kalle Rovanperä 

As mentioned in the Toyota preview article Rovanperä is the favourite to win the championship. Anything less than a championship win would come as a shock. I also see Kalle winning at least 9 of the 14 rounds this season. I know it sounds like a lot, however, in 2024 Rovanperä either won or was on pace to win every event he contested. Therefore if he continues on that path this shouldn’t be much of a challenge for him. I also see Kalle winning at least 65% of the stages this season. 

Elfyn Evans 

Giving a prediction for Evans is hard. As I don’t really know what to expect from him. He could perform like he did in the latter half of the 2023 season, or he could perform like he did last season. I do see the Welshman winning at least one event this season, but from there I can’t really say much. He should compete for a top-three spot, but who knows at this point in time. 

Takamoto Katsuta

2024 was a bad season for Katsuta as mentioned in the preview article. However, I do see 2025 going a bit better. I wouldn’t be surprised if Katsuta tripled the amount of podiums he had last season, with one of those potentially being a win. As far as the championship goes I have him finishing either 6th or 7th. 

Sami Pajari 

Pajari is a bit of a mixed bag for me. He showed a good amount of pace in the car last season. I do expect that to continue into this season, however, I don’t see him truly competing for a podium until Rally Italy and beyond, with a single exception. That being Rally Sweden. Pajari is Finnish and likely has a decent amount of experience on the snow and ice. Meaning he could potentially contest for a podium at the event. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Pajari on the podium at least 2 times before the end of the season. 

Sebastien Ogier

Ogier isn’t competing for the championship this season, well I should say he probably isn’t. As heading into last season he wasn’t expected to contest for the championship, however, that changed mid-season. Nevertheless, Toyota shouldn’t need Ogier to contest for the championship this season. As Kalle Rovanperä is back full-time as their number one driver. I do expect Ogier to win at least one rally at a minimum and be on the podium at 50% of the events he contests.